Let’s talk about Afghanistan from the geostrategic
point of view. Please don’t feel bad if the life of an Afghani citizen is seen
almost inconsequential in this talk about ‘the great game’. Isn’t it all about
the strong gobbling up the weak across all species in the naked, raw game of
survival? The cosmic juggernaut is nothing but an expansionist onslaught that
uses weak as the fodder for the strong to take the march of expansion towards
more elemental sophistication. In the same vein, geostrategic manoeuvring is
primarily about the interests of the superior powers. The interests of the
hosting yard teeming with its poor masses, where the game is played, are
inconsequential just like your feet hardly care for the world of the ants as
you march on the higher scale of your ambitions, far higher than the tiny world
of ants.
Whoever goes to Afghanistan doesn’t go there as an
enemy of Afghanistan. He goes there as someone else’s enemy. The rugged, barren
land is a huge arena for the bad guys to play out their muscle-flexing and
brain-tweaking games. It’s like in a bullfight the grass gets trampled. And
trampled have been the millions of Afghanis since the past many decades. The
Britishers went there as the enemies of the Russians. The Americans went there
as the enemies of the Russians. Presently, Russia, China, Pakistan and Iran are
there as the enemies of America. Pakistan has more reasons to meddle there.
They are there as the enemies of India as well.
The Afghan tragedy is that nobody has gone there as a
friend of Afghanistan. It is always some outsider’s enemy. And enemy’s enemy
makes a very shaky friendship. China and Russia will realize it during the
coming decades. For the Russians it will be a repeat lesson if they cross over
the line again. And a superpower-intoxicated China has to learn this Afghan
lesson inevitably if it really wants to claim the superpower status.
The Afghanis have more or less accepted poverty as
their most prized asset to sustain their fierce pride, clan loyalty, spirit of
independence and a culture of killing and dying. Dying and killing isn’t too
much a shock in Afghanistan. It’s very easily digested. Craze is craze. Someone
fights for superpower status, the Afghanis fight to keep their ideology and
medieval principles. It’s their opium like there are other forms of opium world
over to drive people, states, institutions and societies crazy. Just true to
the main Homo sapiens trait of opium addiction, the Afghanis love taking long
draughts at their version of opium.
It’s good that the Americans have packed their bags.
Instead of having their army in the enemy’s backyard, it’s more practical to
have a lethal naval unit that can move to any part of the world with effective
deterrence. On top of it, take a quantum jump in space warfare. Be several
years ahead of the nearest rival. Be in a position to harm the enemy’s space
assets. It’s just like sitting on the high ridges from where you can easily target
those struggling up the slopes. If you have to play your silly game at any
cost, at least play it well. The formula is: Be up there in the skies, higher
than the others and trample down your enemy if they dare to stare at you in the
skies.
Meanwhile, the ‘graveyard of empires’ is surely going
to be the graveyard of the next superpower also. Taliban know that the new
friends aren’t supporting them as such. The Chinese are merely opposing the
Americans. In this, the Chinese are repeating the American mistakes of
nurturing a genie that is sure to go against the master at any cost. Well,
nothing immoral about it, it’s simply the genie’s opium. Over all, it’s a
smoke-clouded, crazy game among opium eaters of different varieties.
In future, fundamentalist Islam is a bigger threat to
China than America. America doesn’t operate reformation camps for the Muslims.
There an ordinary Muslim goes about his/her routine without too much pressure
on their faith. The insurgent groups in Central Asia and Taliban are well aware
of what is happening to Uighur Muslims. It’s a temporary accommodation on their
part to take China as an ally.
One, but, must not forget that fundamentalist Islam’s
first priority is keeping their faith intact, however objectionable the outer
world finds it. Therefore, China will surely realize it later. The badlands of bloodthirsty
jihadis aren’t that much of a threat
to America as they are to China. The superpower status definitely costs you the
sleep of many nights. Americans, let the situation keep worsening in China’s
backyard and its flares will surely reach the red bastion. In fact, by being
there America was doing a bigger favour to the Chinese than to itself.
What about Pakistan? They haven’t learnt any lessons
from their fire-mongering against India, which ultimately destroyed them to the
extent of making them a vassal state of China. Wait, China is a very tough
taskmaster. The Red Father will extract the costs at a nice rate of interest. The
Chinese are not like Americans that they will pour billions of dollars in the
name of fighting terrorism while you keep sheltering Osama Bin Laden. They know
how to take more at the cost of giving less. Very strict businessman, I tell
you. A democratic creditor will at the most pull your ears and shout at you for
bunking your payments. However, an autocratic creditor will spit on your face
and put its index finger in your arse for the littlest error. So take care!
Already there are proofs of this in our neighbourhood.
What about the modern, educated, cultured voice of
sanity in Afghanistan? They have no option. They have to leave and set up their
world at some other place. The simple message for them is: ‘Please leave at any
cost, however possible!’
Pakistan you be careful of the TTP. They will continue
pulling your beard. And China you, don’t count off ETIM like you have done so
far. Taliban is a great encouraging example for them. They have an idol now in
the form of a triumphant radical Islamic group taking over an entire country.
India, keep supplying the Northern Alliance with material help because as a
regional power aspirant you too are helpless. So to keep your interests, you
supply guns to the Northern Alliance. America, you please keep a low profile
for some time and focus on your technologies. There is no need to get into a street
brawl with the red bully who wants to dissipate you. You just mind your own
business for some time and don’t get instigated by the puns and pranks about
your so called ‘defeat’ in Afghanistan.
In Afghanistan, victory and defeat mean almost the
same. Their own defeat is no defeat. And the outsider’s victory is no victory.
Why the hell people go there to fight? It looks like a circus ring now. Abandon
it. Of course, help those who want to come out, give them visas and facilitate
their rehabilitation. But allow the lovers of medieval practices to lead their
lives as they deem fit. After all, it’s their opium like you have your own.
The fight for world supremacy has better avenues. This
barren land is very boring. Go and write success stories on the sea and in
upper atmosphere. Have countless submarines, aircraft carriers and destroyers.
There is more mobility. Now please disturb the aquatic world. There has been
enough terrestrial mischief. And run to the high ridges, I mean go higher into
the skies and throw pebbles from there at your enemy’s pot. Well, in any case,
the space wars will acquire legitimacy very soon. So why bother about these
poor Afghans. Leave them at peace in their caves, elder councils, medieval
beliefs and chuckling smiles at both dying and killing.
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