Let’s talk about Afghanistan from the geostrategic point of view. Please don’t feel bad if the life of an Afghani citizen is seen almost inconsequential in this talk about ‘the great game’. Geostrategic maneuvering is primarily about the interests of the superior powers. The interests of the hosting yard, where the game is fought, are inconsequential. Whoever goes to Afghanistan doesn’t go there as an enemy of Afghanistan. He goes there as someone else’s enemy. The Britishers went there as the enemies of Russians. The Americans went there as the enemies of Russians. Presently, Russia, China, Pakistan and Iran are there as the enemies of America. Pakistan has more reasons to meddle there. They are there as the enemies of India as well. The Afghan tragedy is that nobody has gone there as a friend of Afghanistan. It is always some outsider’s enemy. And enemy’s enemy makes a very shaky friendship. China and Russia will realize it during the coming decades. For the Russians it will be a repeat lesson if they cross over the line again. And a superpower intoxicated China has to learn this Afghan lesson inevitably if it really wants to claim superpower status.
The Afgahnis have more or
less accepted poverty as their most prized asset at the cost of their fierce
pride, clan loyalty, spirit of independence and a culture of killing and dying.
Dying and killing isn’t too much a shock in Afghanistan. It’s very easily
digested. Craze is craze. Someone fights for superpower status, the Afghanis
fight to keep their ideology and medieval principles. It’s their opium. They love
taking long draughts at it. It’s good that Americans have packed their bags.
Instead of having their army in the enemy’s backyard, it’s more practical to
have a lethal naval unit that can move to any part of the world with effective
deterrence. On top of it, take a quantum jump in space warfare. Be several
years ahead of the nearest rival. Be in a position to harm the enemy’s space
assets. It’s just like sitting on high ridges from where you can easily those
coming up the slopes. The formula is: Be up there in the skies, higher than the
others and trample down your enemy if they dare to stare at you in the skies.
The ‘graveyard of empires’
is surely going to be the graveyard of the next superpower also. Taliban know
that they aren’t supporting Taliban as such. The Chinese are merely opposing
the Americans. In this, the Chinese are repeating the American mistakes of nurturing
a genie that is sure to go against the master at any cost. In future,
fundamentalist Islam is a bigger threat to China than America. America hasn’t
reformation camps for Muslims. There an ordinary Muslim goes about his/her
routine without too much pressure on their faith. The insurgent groups in
Central Asia and Taliban are well aware of what is happening to Uighur Muslims.
It’s a temporary accommodation on their part to take China as an ally. One,
but, must not forget that fundamentalist Islam’s first priority is keeping
their faith intact, however objectionable the outer world finds it. So China
will surely realize it later. A badland of blood thirsty Jihadis isn’t that
much of a threat to America as it’s to China. Superpower status definitely costs
you the sleep of a few nights. Let the situation keep worsening in China’s
backyard and its flares will surely reach the Red bastion. In fact, by being there
America was doing a bigger favor to the Chinese than to itself.
What about Pakistan? They
haven’t learnt any lessons from their fire-mongering against India, which
ultimately destroyed them to the extent of making them a vassal state of China.
Wait, China is a very tough taskmaster. Imran Khan, your Red Father will
extract the costs with a nice rate of interests. Chinese are not Americans that
they will pour billions of dollars in the name of fighting terrorism while you
keep sheltering Osama Bin Laden. They know how to take more at the cost of
giving less. Very strict businessman, I tell you. A democratic creditor will at the most pull your ears and shout at you for bunking your payments. However, an autocratic creditor will spit at your face and put its index finger in your ass for the littlest error. So take care!
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