The fall of Sheikh Hasina government
in Bangladesh is very worrisome for the Indian strategic interests; just like
the fall of Rajapakshe clan in Sri Lanka must have bothered the Chinese communist
government.
For a country like India whose
democracy is always on the livewire, it’s suitable to have democracies in its
bordering states. Bangladesh under Sheikh Hasina—however milder version of
democracy it might have been—is always a better bet for India in comparison to
any other option.
She was firmly in the seat for
the last fifteen years. Despite all the diluting elements of a proper democracy—like
‘crackdown on the opposition, including the jailing of leaders, stifling of
dissent, and muzzling of media’ (was she too inspired by her fellow friend in
the neighborhood?)—she has been the best shot for the Indian interests. Her
ouster acquires more worrisome shades given the fact of unfriendly regimes in
Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and the military junta in Myanmar.
When you are a proponent of
strongman (or strongwoman) politics, there is a very fine line between what is
tolerable and intolerable. Dissension builds up over a period of time and if
you aren’t prudent enough to keep safety valves for the seepage of extra effervescence—thus
avoiding an explosion—you might become a villain suddenly. The fuel has accumulated
over the years; now it needs just one trigger to ignite mass sentiments. There
were people swimming in the private pools of mighty Rajapakshes and now you
have people taking away framed picture and paintings from Hasina’s official
residence.
She could have easily enjoyed her
fifth term. What was the use of bringing job quota for the descendants of
freedom fighters? One can give positive incentives in so many other ways
instead of directly antagonizing the younger section of the population. It was
foolish on her part; as farcical as would be the Indian government’s job quota
for the descendants of the founding members of the Hindu rightist organizations
in the country. Instead of allowing the fire to spread while hundreds died in
the protests she could have shown a clever side—staying adamant at all costs is
being very foolish, even if it makes one feel strong—by revoking the measures;
like Modi did once during the farmer protests by taking back the unpopular
farming laws. This is the only time I have seen him allowing some space to the
voice of dissent; otherwise it has been a steel frame. It’s fortunate that he
did it because it saved India from a bigger fire. But the way female wrestlers
were treated—and the oppressor facilitated—still rankles the soul of most of
the people in the peasantry class. And the less we say about Manipur, the
better it is. I know it’s far more complex situation over there than anyone of
a common person like you or me can understand. But despite all the nitty
gritties the country’s premier can at least take some symbolic measures to put
balm on bleeding Manipuri wounds.
It’s fortunate that collective
Indian psyche is far more mature and would respond—not react—through ballot paper
during elections under similar circumstances like it did during the recently
held general elections. There are big parallels between how PM Modi and Sheikh
Hasina run their government. But our response has been to stop him from
hijacking our entire democratic system. Despite the blatant misuse of agencies
and the election commission—and I take the result with a pinch of salt and
there are enough reasons to believe that election wasn’t fair as it’s supposed
to be in the world’s largest democracy—the BJP lost its majority and hence the
power to rule with an unsparing rod. A coalition government is the best shot
for the social harmony of the country at the moment.
What is it that undoes the
position of a powerful authoritarian leader in a democracy? I think, it’s the
plain old overconfidence. An illusion that what has been passing for long will
continue to do so. As the most powerful person in the country you think that
alpha male type tactics are the only signs of strength and power. You think any
adjustment of other’s opinion is a sign of weakness. Like PM Modi initially did
during the farmer’s protests. About 700 farmers lost their lives during the
cruel summer and winter months during the yearlong agitation. But he didn’t even
think of meeting them. The champion and elite female sporting icons kept crying
on the road for justice but he didn’t even once expressed his willingness to
listen to them. Manipur is burning for more than a year but he hasn’t visited
it even once during the times when his subjects need a healing touch. Just mere
presence and soft words will do. All of us are lucky that Indian voters are far
more mature and respond through ballot box only. And that’s the strength of
Indian democracy.
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